Rockies vs. Tigers: In-Depth Analysis & Picks for Sept 12!

Game Overview: The Detroit Tigers (75-71) are set to face the Colorado Rockies (54-92) at Comerica Park. Detroit is the heavy favorite, with a moneyline of -275, while the Rockies are listed as +222 underdogs. The total for the game is set at 7.5 runs, with the Tigers also favored on the run line at -1.5.

Starting Pitchers: Detroit will start left-hander Tarik Skubal, who has had an excellent season with a 16-4 record, a 2.53 ERA, and 208 strikeouts over 174 2/3 innings. Skubal’s consistent performance, coupled with a solid ERA, makes him a dominant force on the mound for the Tigers. In his most recent outing against the Oakland Athletics, he allowed two runs over 5.2 innings, which highlights his ability to minimize damage even when allowing baserunners.

Colorado will counter with Ryan Feltner, who has struggled throughout the season, holding a 2-10 record and a 5.09 ERA. Despite a decent performance in his last start against the Milwaukee Brewers, where he allowed just one run over six innings, Feltner’s season numbers suggest he’s vulnerable, particularly against potent lineups like Detroit’s.

Team Performance and Key Players: The Tigers have been in decent form, with a 7-3 record over their last ten games. Their offense averages 4.27 runs per game, with standout performances from Riley Greene (batting .265 with 21 home runs and 66 RBIs), Matt Vierling (.261 with 16 home runs), and Kerry Carpenter (.293 with 14 home runs). Detroit’s pitching ranks sixth in MLB with a 4.04 team ERA, which indicates their ability to suppress opponents’ scoring.

The Rockies, meanwhile, have struggled this season, especially on the mound, where they rank last in the league with a 5.47 ERA. Their offense is equally underwhelming, averaging just 4.17 runs per game, with key contributions from Ezequiel Tovar (.268 with 22 home runs) and Brenton Doyle (team-leading 67 RBIs). However, the Rockies’ inconsistent offense and poor pitching make them heavy underdogs.

Prediction: Given the disparity in pitching and overall team performance, the Detroit Tigers are expected to win this game comfortably. Tarik Skubal’s strong season and the Tigers’ ability to capitalize against weaker pitching favor Detroit on both the moneyline and the run line. Additionally, with the Rockies’ pitching woes and a high-scoring potential for the Tigers, the game is likely to go over the 7.5 total runs set by oddsmakers.

Recommended Bet:

• Pick: Detroit Tigers -1.5 on the run line.
• Total Runs: Over 7.5.

This analysis suggests that backing the Tigers to cover the spread is a strong play, and the game should feature more than 7.5 total runs given the pitching matchup and both teams’ recent trends​

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